ISLAMABAD: The National Disaster Management Authority on Friday warned that the Indus River would attain extremely high flood level at Guddu Barrage in Sindh on September 5 and 6, with the worst-case scenario of 1.2 million cusecs flow.
Different estimates subject of some variables were shared to make predictions after the five rivers of Punjab meet the mighty Indus River at Kot Mithan in Rajanpur district of southern Punjab before entering Sindh.
It said the waterflow would be between 900,000 to 950,00 cusecs at Panjnad Headworks on September 3 and 4.
However, the river flow would be 825,000 to 900,000 cusecs if dykes along the rivers were breached at suitable points, said the NDMA.
Further south, the worst-case scenario shows that Guddu Barrage could witness a flow of up to 1.2 million cusecs.
However, the estimates — apart from the worst-case scenario — vary, showing a low of 800,000 cusecs and high of 1,100,000 cusecs.
The reason is simple: no one can exactly know how much water will disperse along the path of river or rivers as well as where and when they would breach the dykes.
Meanwhile, the waterflow at Guddu would be between 750,000 cusecs to 900,000 cusecs if the authorities decide to blow up dyke or dykes.
It’s a developing story. Details to follow